Northridge
W-L: ( 8-20) PR = 92.5454Schedule/Results All Games
Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 1108 A San Diego WC (10-21, 93.3) 63-48 1112 H San Diego St MW (25- 6, 95.5) 70-91 1119 H Cal Baptist WAC C (23-11, 94.4) 54-86 1123 H Idaho BS (27- 6, 94.9) 56-89 1204 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 59-57 1206 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 46-72 1213 A San Jose St MW ( 3-27, 92.1) 66-55 1218 H No Arizona BS ( 9-22, 92.9) 56-77 1220 H Pepperdine WC (19-13, 94.5) 63-69 101 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 66-85 103 H Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 70-88 108 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 77-68 110 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 58-73 115 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 48-60 117 H LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 61-62 124 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 55-64 129 H UC Davis BW (21-11, 94.2) 51-68 131 H UC San Diego BW (24- 9, 94.5) 67-82 205 A Cal Poly BW ( 3-26, 91.1) 65-50 207 A Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 58-53 214 H Hawaii BW (20-11, 94.2) 54-63 219 H Santa Barbara BW (19-10, 93.9) 58-74 221 A LB St BW ( 4-24, 91.8) 85-75 226 H UC Irvine BW (26- 7, 94.6) 57-60 228 H Ca Riverside BW ( 9-21, 92.8) 61-70 305 A CS Baker BW ( 6-22, 92.0) 82-47 307 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 60-81 311 H CS Fullerton BW (16-15, 93.3) 65-80
PREDICTION LIST
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|Real = actual goal margin |
|Pred = predicted goal margin |
|+ = slightly above prediction |
|++ = above prediction |
|+++ = well above prediction |
|- = slightly below prediction |
|-- = below prediction |
|--- = well below prediction |
|Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) |
| prediction. N/A when ten |
| goal limit is exceeded |
|n/a = Outside division |
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Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals*
1108 A San Diego 63-48 15 -1 + 2.74
1112 H San Diego St 70-91 -21 -3 0.00
1119 H Cal Baptist 54-86 -32 -2 -0.18
1123 H Idaho 56-89 -33 -2 0.00
1204 A CS Baker 59-57 2 0 1.50
1206 H UC Irvine 46-72 -26 -2 0.00
1213 A San Jose St 66-55 11 0 1.55
1218 H No Arizona 56-77 -21 0 -1.68
1220 H Pepperdine 63-69 -6 -2 -0.06
101 H UC Davis 66-85 -19 -2 -0.37
103 H Santa Barbara 70-88 -18 -1 -0.63
108 A Cal Poly 77-68 9 1 0.58
110 H CS Fullerton 58-73 -15 -1 -1.24
115 H UC San Diego 48-60 -12 -2 -0.06
117 H LB St 61-62 -1 1 -1.78
124 H Hawaii 55-64 -9 -2 -0.33
129 H UC Davis 51-68 -17 -2 -0.37
131 H UC San Diego 67-82 -15 -2 -0.06
205 A Cal Poly 65-50 15 1 0.58
207 A Ca Riverside 58-53 5 0 + 2.26
214 H Hawaii 54-63 -9 -2 -0.33
219 H Santa Barbara 58-74 -16 -1 -0.63
221 A LB St 85-75 10 1 1.24
226 H UC Irvine 57-60 -3 -2 0.00
228 H Ca Riverside 61-70 -9 0 -1.76
305 A CS Baker 82-47 35 0 1.50
307 H CS Fullerton 60-81 -21 -1 -1.24
311 H CS Fullerton 65-80 -15 -1 -1.24
|
UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* |
OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 1108 A San Diego 63-48 15 -1 + 2.74 207 A Ca Riverside 58-53 5 0 + 2.26 |
division Games OnlyAverage number of games used in Games Correction = 30.35
Date Opponent (W-L PR) SCORE SAFE SAFE Home No Games SCI
Loss Win Field Correction Points
SLP SWP Advantage Factor
3 A San Diego (10-21, 93.3) 63-48 -6.62 4.34 0.01 1.08 9.43
3 H San Diego St (25- 6, 95.5) 70-91 -4.42 6.54 -0.01 1.08 -2.40
3 H Cal Baptist (23-11, 94.4) 54-86 -5.52 5.44 -0.01 1.08 -3.00
3 H Idaho (27- 6, 94.9) 56-89 -4.96 6.00 -0.01 1.08 -2.70
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 59-57 -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.08 6.74
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 46-72 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.08 -2.86
3 A San Jose St ( 3-27, 92.1) 66-55 -7.82 3.14 0.01 1.08 6.84
3 H No Arizona ( 9-22, 92.9) 56-77 -7.02 3.94 -0.01 1.08 -3.81
3 H Pepperdine (19-13, 94.5) 63-69 -5.40 5.56 -0.01 1.08 -2.93
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 66-85 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.08 -3.10
3 H Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 70-88 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.08 -3.24
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 77-68 -8.78 2.18 0.01 1.08 4.74
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 58-73 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.08 -3.57
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 48-60 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.08 -2.94
3 H LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 61-62 -8.13 2.83 -0.01 1.08 -4.41
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 55-64 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.08 -3.08
3 H UC Davis (21-11, 94.2) 51-68 -5.72 5.24 -0.01 1.08 -3.10
3 H UC San Diego (24- 9, 94.5) 67-82 -5.41 5.55 -0.01 1.08 -2.94
3 A Cal Poly ( 3-26, 91.1) 65-50 -8.78 2.18 0.01 1.08 4.74
3 A Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 58-53 -7.11 3.86 0.01 1.08 8.38
3 H Hawaii (20-11, 94.2) 54-63 -5.68 5.28 -0.01 1.08 -3.08
3 H Santa Barbara (19-10, 93.9) 58-74 -5.97 4.99 -0.01 1.08 -3.24
3 A LB St ( 4-24, 91.8) 85-75 -8.13 2.83 0.01 1.08 6.16
3 H UC Irvine (26- 7, 94.6) 57-60 -5.27 5.69 -0.01 1.08 -2.86
3 H Ca Riverside ( 9-21, 92.8) 61-70 -7.11 3.86 -0.01 1.08 -3.86
3 A CS Baker ( 6-22, 92.0) 82-47 -7.86 3.10 0.01 1.08 6.74
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 60-81 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.08 -3.57
3 H CS Fullerton (16-15, 93.3) 65-80 -6.58 4.38 -0.01 1.08 -3.57
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-10.51
|
winning pts = 53.7647 losing points = -64.2699
SCI ={(SLP or SLW) +/- home-field advantage} * Game Correction.
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| (W-L PR) = Won-loss record and power rating |
| SCORE = game score |
| SAFE Loss (SLP) = Points deducted for losing to the opponent |
| SAFE Win (SWP) = Points awarded for defeating the opponent |
| Home-field Advantage = goals deducted/awarded for site |
| No games correction = normalzation based on a ~16 game schedule |
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